Men's NCAA Basketball

Generated at Wed Apr 06 22:31:23 EDT 2011.

Rater: mit.sjens.rating.TestParameterizedRater
Home-field advantage: 5.3
Win bonus: 0.7
Point limit: 30.0
Expected result multiplier: 0.3
Persistence: 0.99
Probability factor: 19.65
Tolerance: 0.0010

Rank	Team	%age	Record	Rating
1	Ohio St	0.919	34-3	64.15
2	Kansas	0.921	35-3	62.05
3	Duke	0.865	32-5	61.47
4	Kentucky	0.763	29-9	61.04
5	Pittsburgh	0.824	28-6	60.62
6	Connecticut	0.780	32-9	60.54
7	San Diego St	0.919	34-3	60.45
8	Texas	0.778	28-8	60.34
9	North Carolina	0.784	29-8	60.30
10	BYU	0.865	32-5	60.11
11	Wisconsin	0.735	25-9	59.89
12	Louisville	0.714	25-10	59.79
13	Purdue	0.765	26-8	59.60
14	Notre Dame	0.794	27-7	59.42
15	Florida	0.784	29-8	59.40
16	Syracuse	0.771	27-8	59.29
17	Washington	0.686	24-11	58.68
18	Utah St	0.882	30-4	58.45
19	West Virginia	0.636	21-12	58.40
20	Arizona	0.789	30-8	58.39
21	Belmont	0.857	30-5	58.39
22	Cincinnati	0.743	26-9	58.24
23	Butler	0.737	28-10	58.07
24	Illinois	0.588	20-14	58.07
25	Wichita St	0.784	29-8	57.97
26	Clemson	0.647	22-12	57.87
27	Michigan	0.600	21-14	57.71
28	George Mason	0.794	27-7	57.52
29	Kansas St	0.676	23-11	57.42
30	Xavier	0.750	24-8	57.38
31	Temple	0.765	26-8	57.26
32	Marquette	0.595	22-15	57.18
33	Florida St	0.676	23-11	57.16
34	UNLV	0.727	24-9	56.96
35	Vanderbilt	0.676	23-11	56.90
36	VA Commonwealth	0.700	28-12	56.90
37	St John's	0.636	21-12	56.73
38	Georgetown	0.656	21-11	56.72
39	Gonzaga	0.714	25-10	56.55
40	Richmond	0.784	29-8	56.50
41	Missouri	0.676	23-11	56.48
42	Penn St	0.559	19-15	56.41
43	Villanova	0.636	21-12	56.38
44	Old Dominion	0.794	27-7	56.37
45	Virginia Tech	0.647	22-12	56.32
46	Michigan St	0.559	19-15	56.04
47	New Mexico	0.629	22-13	56.00
48	Northwestern	0.588	20-14	55.87
49	UCLA	0.676	23-11	55.87
50	Alabama	0.676	25-12	55.84
51	St Mary's CA	0.735	25-9	55.82
52	Texas A&M	0.727	24-9	55.80
53	Georgia	0.636	21-12	55.78
54	USC	0.559	19-15	55.74
55	Colorado	0.632	24-14	55.70
56	Oakland	0.714	25-10	55.56
57	Maryland	0.576	19-14	55.53
58	Seton Hall	0.419	13-18	55.50
59	Miami FL	0.583	21-15	55.41
60	Duquesne	0.594	19-13	55.35
61	Iona	0.676	25-12	55.23
62	Tennessee	0.559	19-15	55.07
63	Minnesota	0.548	17-14	55.04
64	Washington St	0.629	22-13	54.84
65	Col Charleston	0.703	26-11	54.77
66	Missouri St	0.743	26-9	54.63
67	Cleveland St	0.750	27-9	54.48
68	UAB	0.710	22-9	54.45
69	Harvard	0.767	23-7	54.37
70	Nebraska	0.594	19-13	54.33
71	Boston College	0.618	21-13	54.30
72	Mississippi	0.588	20-14	54.15
73	UTEP	0.714	25-10	54.14
74	Princeton	0.781	25-7	53.99
75	Oklahoma St	0.588	20-14	53.92
76	Wofford	0.618	21-13	53.89
77	Southern Miss	0.688	22-10	53.75
78	Colorado St	0.594	19-13	53.73
79	California	0.545	18-15	53.73
80	Morehead St	0.714	25-10	53.70
81	Rutgers	0.469	15-17	53.59
82	Boise St	0.629	22-13	53.55
83	Marshall	0.647	22-12	53.52
84	Kent	0.676	25-12	53.31
85	Long Island	0.818	27-6	53.24
86	Tulsa	0.594	19-13	53.23
87	Memphis	0.714	25-10	53.09
88	NC State	0.484	15-16	53.04
89	Indiana	0.375	12-20	53.01
90	Oregon	0.538	21-18	52.99
91	Bucknell	0.735	25-9	52.98
92	Santa Clara	0.632	24-14	52.97
93	Long Beach St	0.647	22-12	52.88
94	Baylor	0.581	18-13	52.82
95	Valparaiso	0.657	23-12	52.81
96	Indiana St	0.588	20-14	52.77
97	Dayton	0.611	22-14	52.75
98	Iowa	0.355	11-20	52.73
99	Iowa St	0.500	16-16	52.71
100	Creighton	0.590	23-16	52.69
101	Georgia Tech	0.419	13-18	52.64
102	Drexel	0.677	21-10	52.61
103	Virginia	0.516	16-15	52.60
104	Northern Iowa	0.588	20-14	52.58
105	Arkansas	0.581	18-13	52.50
106	ETSU	0.667	24-12	52.45
107	James Madison	0.636	21-12	52.43
108	Fairfield	0.758	25-8	52.34
109	Stanford	0.484	15-16	52.29
110	Wright St	0.576	19-14	52.29
111	Portland	0.636	21-12	52.18
112	Coastal Car	0.824	28-6	52.02
113	Detroit	0.515	17-16	51.99
114	Akron	0.639	23-13	51.92
115	WI Milwaukee	0.576	19-14	51.87
116	Providence	0.469	15-17	51.87
117	Buffalo	0.588	20-14	51.83
118	Murray St	0.719	23-9	51.83
119	Hofstra	0.636	21-12	51.79
120	St Peter's	0.588	20-14	51.78
121	N Colorado	0.656	21-11	51.77
122	Montana	0.656	21-11	51.76
123	Mississippi St	0.548	17-14	51.75
124	UCF	0.636	21-12	51.74
125	Oral Roberts	0.543	19-16	51.66
126	Austin Peay	0.588	20-14	51.66
127	S Dakota St	0.613	19-12	51.66
128	Rhode Island	0.588	20-14	51.59
129	Idaho	0.563	18-14	51.55
130	Texas Tech	0.406	13-19	51.49
131	Northern Arizona	0.594	19-13	51.49
132	Arizona St	0.387	12-19	51.46
133	Rider	0.676	23-11	51.34
134	Ohio	0.543	19-16	51.33
135	Air Force	0.500	16-16	51.32
136	St Louis	0.387	12-19	51.32
137	IUPUI	0.576	19-14	51.22
138	San Francisco	0.559	19-15	51.18
139	Oklahoma	0.438	14-18	51.13
140	New Mexico St	0.485	16-17	51.11
141	Loyola-Chicago	0.516	16-15	51.03
142	Lipscomb	0.567	17-13	50.99
143	Utah	0.419	13-18	50.97
144	Santa Barbara	0.563	18-14	50.96
145	South Carolina	0.467	14-16	50.87
146	South Florida	0.303	10-23	50.87
147	UNC Asheville	0.588	20-14	50.84
148	East Carolina	0.529	18-16	50.83
149	Central Conn	0.613	19-12	50.76
150	Furman	0.667	22-11	50.74
151	Vermont	0.719	23-9	50.69
152	Jacksonville	0.625	20-12	50.64
153	Davidson	0.545	18-15	50.55
154	WI Green Bay	0.438	14-18	50.55
155	Hawaii	0.594	19-13	50.54
156	Robert Morris	0.563	18-14	50.53
157	Nevada	0.406	13-19	50.48
158	W Michigan	0.618	21-13	50.46
159	SMU	0.571	20-15	50.43
160	St Bonaventure	0.516	16-15	50.41
161	Rice	0.438	14-18	50.31
162	Evansville	0.500	16-16	50.23
163	G Washington	0.548	17-14	50.14
164	Pacific	0.516	16-15	50.09
165	Weber St	0.563	18-14	50.02
166	Fresno St	0.452	14-17	49.98
167	Quinnipiac	0.688	22-10	49.96
168	Oregon St	0.355	11-20	49.95
169	Bradley	0.375	12-20	49.95
170	San Jose St	0.515	17-16	49.83
171	Tennessee Tech	0.606	20-13	49.77
172	W Carolina	0.545	18-15	49.76
173	Penn	0.464	13-15	49.58
174	Miami OH	0.485	16-17	49.56
175	American Univ	0.710	22-9	49.55
176	Boston Univ	0.600	21-14	49.55
177	La Salle	0.455	15-18	49.54
178	North Texas	0.667	22-11	49.50
179	N Dakota St	0.483	14-15	49.49
180	Ball St	0.594	19-13	49.38
181	Cal Poly SLO	0.500	15-15	49.36
182	Sam Houston St	0.581	18-13	49.31
183	St Joseph's PA	0.333	11-22	49.26
184	IPFW	0.600	18-12	49.17
185	Arkansas St	0.531	17-15	49.15
186	Canisius	0.500	15-15	49.13
187	Northeastern	0.355	11-20	49.04
188	TCU	0.333	11-22	49.02
189	FL Atlantic	0.656	21-11	49.02
190	Mercer	0.455	15-18	48.99
191	Delaware	0.452	14-17	48.91
192	Middle Tenn St	0.500	16-16	48.91
193	Drake	0.419	13-18	48.88
194	Lehigh	0.516	16-15	48.87
195	Yale	0.536	15-13	48.83
196	Loyola MD	0.500	15-15	48.78
197	McNeese St	0.636	21-12	48.76
198	VMI	0.581	18-13	48.70
199	Tulane	0.433	13-17	48.64
200	Cornell	0.357	10-18	48.57
201	Massachusetts	0.500	15-15	48.57
202	UNC Wilmington	0.419	13-18	48.46
203	North Florida	0.441	15-19	48.46
204	Hampton	0.727	24-9	48.46
205	William & Mary	0.313	10-22	48.44
206	Georgia St	0.387	12-19	48.42
207	S Illinois	0.406	13-19	48.40
208	Charleston So	0.500	16-16	48.36
209	Lafayette	0.406	13-19	48.27
210	St Francis NY	0.500	15-15	48.26
211	Appalachian St	0.516	16-15	48.21
212	Columbia	0.536	15-13	48.20
213	Auburn	0.355	11-20	48.18
214	Winthrop	0.433	13-17	48.15
215	Ark Little Rock	0.528	19-17	48.10
216	Loy Marymount	0.344	11-21	48.05
217	UT San Antonio	0.588	20-14	48.04
218	Charlotte	0.333	10-20	47.87
219	DePaul	0.226	7-24	47.85
220	CS Northridge	0.438	14-18	47.82
221	E Kentucky	0.484	15-16	47.80
222	W Kentucky	0.500	16-16	47.77
223	Maine	0.500	15-15	47.74
224	Siena	0.419	13-18	47.74
225	Illinois St	0.387	12-19	47.72
226	Houston	0.400	12-18	47.70
227	Liberty	0.594	19-13	47.68
228	SF Austin	0.621	18-11	47.64
229	ULL	0.483	14-15	47.62
230	Denver	0.433	13-17	47.60
231	Holy Cross	0.276	8-21	47.59
232	Elon	0.452	14-17	47.51
233	Tennessee St	0.467	14-16	47.38
234	Stony Brook	0.469	15-17	47.38
235	Wyoming	0.323	10-21	47.36
236	Bowling Green	0.424	14-19	47.33
237	Pepperdine	0.364	12-21	47.29
238	LSU	0.344	11-21	47.20
239	Louisiana Tech	0.375	12-20	47.19
240	Wagner	0.433	13-17	47.06
241	Brown	0.393	11-17	47.03
242	UC Irvine	0.394	13-20	46.97
243	Lamar	0.433	13-17	46.93
244	Nicholls St	0.500	14-14	46.89
245	Albany NY	0.500	16-16	46.86
246	IL Chicago	0.226	7-24	46.86
247	Morgan St	0.548	17-14	46.84
248	Texas St	0.500	16-16	46.75
249	Utah Val St	0.633	19-11	46.67
250	SE Louisiana	0.517	15-14	46.63
251	Youngstown St	0.300	9-21	46.60
252	UC Davis	0.333	10-20	46.60
253	Campbell	0.387	12-19	46.57
254	Mt St Mary's	0.344	11-21	46.52
255	Gardner Webb	0.344	11-21	46.48ank">285	E Michigan	0.290	9-22	45.21
286	TN Martin	0.364	12-21	45.16
287	North Dakota	0.559	19-15	45.03
288	San Diego	0.200	6-24	44.99
289	South Alabama	0.429	12-16	44.92
290	Towson	0.133	4-26	44.90
291	N Illinois	0.300	9-21	44.89
292	Stetson	0.258	8-23	44.89
293	New Hampshire	0.400	12-18	44.86
294	Florida Intl	0.367	11-19	44.74
295	Army	0.367	11-19	44.72
296	Jacksonville St	0.167	5-25	44.61
297	Hartford	0.355	11-20	44.61
298	E Illinois	0.310	9-20	44.54
299	Fordham	0.250	7-21	44.54
300	Norfolk St	0.375	12-20	44.53
301	NJIT	0.500	15-15	44.35
302	NC A&T	0.469	15-17	44.33
303	Colgate	0.233	7-23	44.28
304	Niagara	0.281	9-23	44.27
305	High Point	0.387	12-19	44.27
306	Samford	0.387	12-19	44.27
307	Monmouth NJ	0.300	9-21	44.24
308	Bryant	0.323	10-21	44.21
309	MS Valley St	0.406	13-19	44.14
310	Idaho St	0.310	9-20	44.08
311	Longwood	0.387	12-19	43.98
312	Binghamton	0.258	8-23	43.76
313	NC Central	0.500	15-15	43.63
314	SC Upstate	0.167	5-25	43.48
315	Kennesaw	0.258	8-23	43.47
316	Alabama A&M	0.464	13-15	43.45
317	Manhattan	0.194	6-25	43.44
318	Delaware St	0.300	9-21	43.40
319	CS Sacramento	0.250	7-21	43.40
320	Marist	0.182	6-27	43.22
321	TAM C. Christi	0.323	10-21	43.21
322	CS Bakersfield	0.321	9-19	42.77
323	F Dickinson	0.172	5-24	42.39
324	Grambling	0.364	12-21	42.30
325	Dartmouth	0.179	5-23	42.11
326	Florida A&M	0.375	12-20	41.98
327	S Carolina St	0.313	10-22	41.81
328	ULM	0.226	7-24	41.70
329	Toledo	0.125	4-28	41.60
330	Prairie View	0.313	10-22	41.19
331	Ga Southern	0.156	5-27	41.14
332	Radford	0.172	5-24	40.96
333	W Illinois	0.233	7-23	40.91
334	MD E Shore	0.290	9-22	40.64
335	Ark Pine Bluff	0.226	7-24	40.56
336	Houston Bap	0.161	5-26	40.42
337	TX Pan American	0.194	6-25	40.41
338	MD Baltimore Co	0.167	5-25	40.24
339	Howard	0.200	6-24	39.66
340	Alcorn St	0.143	4-24	39.33
341	Edwardsville	0.276	8-21	38.98
342	Cent Arkansas	0.172	5-24	38.73
343	Chicago St	0.188	6-26	37.90
344	Centenary	0.033	1-29	37.43
345	Southern Univ	0.133	4-26	37.13

Thanks to Kryogenix for the table-sorting JavaScript.

steven@stevenjens.com | Steven's home page

.3009-2143.40 319CS Sacramento 0.2507-2143.40 320Marist 0.1826-2743.22 321TAM C. Christi 0.32310-2143.21 322CS Bakersfield 0.3219-1942.77 323F Dickinson 0.1725-2442.39 324Grambling 0.36412-2142.30 325Dartmouth 0.1795-2342.11 326Florida A&M 0.37512-2041.98 327S Carolina St 0.31310-2241.81 328ULM 0.2267-2441.70 329Toledo 0.1254-2841.60 330Prairie View 0.31310-2241.19 331Ga Southern 0.1565-2741.14 332Radford 0.1725-2440.96 333W Illinois 0.2337-2340.91 334MD E Shore 0.2909-2240.64 335Ark Pine Bluff 0.2267-2440.56 336Houston Bap 0.1615-2640.42 337TX Pan American 0.1946-2540.41 338MD Baltimore Co 0.1675-2540.24 339Howard 0.2006-2439.66 340Alcorn St 0.1434-2439.33 341Edwardsville 0.2768-2138.98 342Cent Arkansas 0.1725-2438.73 343Chicago St 0.1886-2637.90 344Centenary 0.0331-2937.43 345Southern Univ 0.1334-2637.13

Thanks to Kryogenix for the table-sorting JavaScript.

steven@stevenjens.com | Steven's home page