Men's NCAA Basketball

Generated at Wed Apr 04 13:01:52 EDT 2012.

Rater: mit.sjens.rating.TestParameterizedRater
Home-field advantage: 5.9
Win bonus: 0.5
Point limit: 30.0
Expected result multiplier: 0.1
Persistence: 0.989
Probability factor: 21.9
Tolerance: 0.001

Rank	Team	%age	Record	Rating
1	Kentucky	0.950	38-2	63.84
2	Ohio St	0.795	31-8	61.79
3	Kansas	0.821	32-7	61.17
4	Syracuse	0.919	34-3	60.88
5	Michigan St	0.784	29-8	60.69
6	North Carolina	0.842	32-6	60.09
7	Missouri	0.857	30-5	59.33
8	Louisville	0.750	30-10	59.19
9	Florida	0.703	26-11	59.14
10	Vanderbilt	0.694	25-11	59.10
11	Memphis	0.743	26-9	59.07
12	Wichita St	0.818	27-6	58.97
13	Indiana	0.750	27-9	58.95
14	Wisconsin	0.722	26-10	58.95
15	Baylor	0.789	30-8	58.85
16	Marquette	0.771	27-8	58.83
17	Georgetown	0.727	24-9	58.30
18	St Louis	0.765	26-8	57.93
19	Duke	0.794	27-7	57.70
20	Iowa St	0.676	23-11	57.70
21	Gonzaga	0.788	26-7	57.65
22	Cincinnati	0.703	26-11	57.40
23	New Mexico	0.800	28-7	57.34
24	Florida St	0.714	25-10	57.27
25	Kansas St	0.667	22-11	57.24
26	Murray St	0.939	31-2	57.19
27	Creighton	0.829	29-6	56.79
28	Michigan	0.706	24-10	56.78
29	VA Commonwealth	0.806	29-7	56.67
30	Belmont	0.771	27-8	56.64
31	Stanford	0.703	26-11	56.52
32	St Mary's CA	0.818	27-6	56.35
33	Purdue	0.629	22-13	56.34
34	Alabama	0.636	21-12	56.33
35	Texas	0.588	20-14	56.30
36	Long Beach St	0.735	25-9	56.26
37	South Florida	0.611	22-14	56.24
38	Drexel	0.806	29-7	56.16
39	California	0.706	24-10	56.15
40	Notre Dame	0.647	22-12	56.15
41	NC State	0.649	24-13	56.00
42	Temple	0.750	24-8	55.93
43	Minnesota	0.605	23-15	55.75
44	Oregon	0.706	24-10	55.74
45	Virginia	0.688	22-10	55.61
46	Washington	0.686	24-11	55.60
47	Ohio	0.784	29-8	55.59
48	Connecticut	0.588	20-14	55.56
49	UNLV	0.743	26-9	55.50
50	Xavier	0.639	23-13	55.44
51	Arizona	0.657	23-12	55.25
52	Harvard	0.839	26-5	55.25
53	St Bonaventure	0.625	20-12	55.09
54	Miami FL	0.606	20-13	55.07
55	UCLA	0.576	19-14	55.00
56	Middle Tenn St	0.794	27-7	54.98
57	West Virginia	0.576	19-14	54.95
58	Massachusetts	0.676	25-12	54.95
59	S Dakota St	0.771	27-8	54.83
60	BYU	0.743	26-9	54.83
61	New Mexico St	0.722	26-10	54.77
62	Tennessee	0.559	19-15	54.68
63	Seton Hall	0.618	21-13	54.66
64	Pittsburgh	0.564	22-17	54.57
65	Iona	0.758	25-8	54.51
66	Colorado	0.667	24-12	54.44
67	Davidson	0.758	25-8	54.36
68	Lehigh	0.771	27-8	54.32
69	Southern Miss	0.735	25-9	54.32
70	La Salle	0.618	21-13	54.29
71	Northwestern	0.576	19-14	54.29
72	San Diego St	0.765	26-8	54.25
73	Dayton	0.606	20-13	54.24
74	Georgia St	0.647	22-12	54.12
75	Bucknell	0.714	25-10	54.07
76	St Joseph's PA	0.588	20-14	54.01
77	Akron	0.647	22-12	53.81
78	Villanova	0.406	13-19	53.61
79	Washington St	0.514	19-18	53.61
80	Cleveland St	0.667	22-11	53.50
81	Detroit	0.611	22-14	53.47
82	Mississippi St	0.636	21-12	53.44
83	Mississippi	0.588	20-14	53.42
84	Northern Iowa	0.588	20-14	53.35
85	Buffalo	0.645	20-11	53.35
86	George Mason	0.735	25-9	53.33
87	Mercer	0.711	27-11	53.26
88	Oral Roberts	0.794	27-7	53.24
89	Iowa	0.514	18-17	53.19
90	Colorado St	0.625	20-12	53.16
91	Nevada	0.800	28-7	53.16
92	Oregon St	0.583	21-15	53.15
93	Marshall	0.600	21-14	53.12
94	Oklahoma St	0.455	15-18	53.10
95	Illinois St	0.600	21-14	53.10
96	Clemson	0.516	16-15	53.09
97	Illinois	0.531	17-15	53.05
98	Denver	0.710	22-9	53.04
99	Georgia	0.469	15-17	53.03
100	Butler	0.595	22-15	52.96
101	Tulsa	0.548	17-14	52.96
102	LSU	0.545	18-15	52.90
103	Virginia Tech	0.485	16-17	52.80
104	Santa Barbara	0.645	20-11	52.78
105	Old Dominion	0.611	22-14	52.70
106	Wagner	0.806	25-6	52.64
107	Montana	0.781	25-7	52.64
108	Princeton	0.625	20-12	52.51
109	Robert Morris	0.703	26-11	52.50
110	Oklahoma	0.484	15-16	52.50
111	UCF	0.667	22-11	52.46
112	Missouri St	0.500	16-16	52.43
113	Richmond	0.500	16-16	52.29
114	Fairfield	0.595	22-15	52.27
115	UT Arlington	0.727	24-9	52.24
116	Wyoming	0.636	21-12	52.20
117	Lamar	0.657	23-12	52.10
118	Maryland	0.531	17-15	52.06
119	Providence	0.469	15-17	52.02
120	Duquesne	0.516	16-15	51.94
121	Texas A&M	0.438	14-18	51.89
122	UNC Asheville	0.706	24-10	51.84
123	UAB	0.484	15-16	51.71
124	Loy Marymount	0.618	21-13	51.70
125	SC Upstate	0.618	21-13	51.69
126	Utah St	0.568	21-16	51.67
127	Valparaiso	0.647	22-12	51.62
128	Vermont	0.667	24-12	51.58
129	Rutgers	0.438	14-18	51.51
130	Penn	0.606	20-13	51.51
131	Kent	0.636	21-12	51.50
132	Penn St	0.375	12-20	51.45
133	Loyola MD	0.727	24-9	51.32
134	Drake	0.529	18-16	51.32
135	Arkansas	0.563	18-14	51.26
136	Manhattan	0.618	21-13	51.25
137	Evansville	0.500	16-16	51.20
138	Weber St	0.781	25-7	51.18
139	San Francisco	0.588	20-14	51.17
140	Bowling Green	0.500	16-16	51.16
141	Long Island	0.735	25-9	51.15
142	East Carolina	0.484	15-16	51.05
143	Quinnipiac	0.563	18-14	50.99
144	Nebraska	0.400	12-18	50.97
145	Tennessee St	0.606	20-13	50.97
146	Auburn	0.484	15-16	50.95
147	UTEP	0.469	15-17	50.90
148	ETSU	0.548	17-14	50.83
149	SF Austin	0.625	20-12	50.83
150	Youngstown St	0.516	16-15	50.71
151	Rice	0.543	19-16	50.68
152	DePaul	0.387	12-19	50.67
153	St John's	0.406	13-19	50.65
154	Delaware	0.563	18-14	50.65
155	Indiana St	0.545	18-15	50.65
156	CS Fullerton	0.677	21-10	50.56
157	Yale	0.655	19-10	50.48
158	Stony Brook	0.688	22-10	50.45
159	Idaho	0.576	19-14	50.44
160	Oakland	0.556	20-16	50.40
161	WI Milwaukee	0.588	20-14	50.35
162	TCU	0.545	18-15	50.27
163	North Texas	0.563	18-14	50.02
164	Louisiana Tech	0.529	18-16	49.91
165	Charlotte	0.433	13-17	49.89
166	Col Charleston	0.613	19-12	49.85
167	FL Gulf Coast	0.469	15-17	49.79
168	Savannah St	0.636	21-12	49.78
169	WI Green Bay	0.500	15-15	49.78
170	G Washington	0.323	10-21	49.77
171	South Carolina	0.323	10-21	49.74
172	American Univ	0.625	20-12	49.73
173	North Florida	0.500	16-16	49.70
174	Norfolk St	0.722	26-10	49.55
175	Boise St	0.433	13-17	49.55
176	Ark Little Rock	0.484	15-16	49.53
177	Cal Poly SLO	0.545	18-15	49.29
178	W Michigan	0.412	14-20	49.20
179	Arkansas St	0.412	14-20	49.20
180	N Dakota St	0.548	17-14	49.15
181	W Kentucky	0.457	16-19	49.14
182	Morehead St	0.545	18-15	49.09
183	Fresno St	0.394	13-20	49.09
184	Houston	0.500	15-15	48.95
185	Charleston So	0.613	19-12	48.92
186	Boston Univ	0.500	16-16	48.84
187	W Illinois	0.545	18-15	48.82
188	Wofford	0.576	19-14	48.82
189	UT San Antonio	0.563	18-14	48.82
190	Georgia Tech	0.355	11-20	48.74
191	Tennessee Tech	0.576	19-14	48.73
192	Albany NY	0.559	19-15	48.71
193	San Diego	0.419	13-18	48.55
194	Wright St	0.406	13-19	48.54
195	South Alabama	0.600	18-12	48.52
196	Arizona St	0.323	10-21	48.49
197	IUPUI	0.438	14-18	48.48
198	Columbia	0.500	15-15	48.48
199	Air Force	0.448	13-16	48.43
200	St Francis NY	0.500	15-15	48.42
201	Rider	0.406	13-19	48.40
202	SMU	0.406	13-19	48.38
203	Rhode Island	0.226	7-24	48.37
204	Jacksonville St	0.455	15-18	48.37
205	Toledo	0.528	19-17	48.35
206	Miami OH	0.300	9-21	48.30
207	Northeastern	0.452	14-17	48.26
208	McNeese St	0.515	17-16	48.24
209	Central Conn	0.448	13-16	48.15
210	Coastal Car	0.613	19-12	48.13
211	Portland St	0.531	17-15	48.12
212	Austin Peay	0.375	12-20	48.11
213	Holy Cross	0.517	15-14	48.09
214	Lipscomb	0.419	13-18	48.03
215	NC Central	0.531	17-15	48.02
216	Ball St	0.500	15-15	47.99
217	Wake Forest	0.419	13-18	47.98
218	S Illinois	0.258	8-23	47.96
219	ULL	0.500	16-16	47.91
220	Hawaii	0.500	16-16	47.87
221	Hofstra	0.313	10-22	47.78
222	SE Missouri St	0.484	15-16	47.77
223	Lafayette	0.419	13-18	47.74
224	Tulane	0.484	15-16	47.70
225	Cornell	0.429	12-16	47.58
226	Texas Tech	0.258	8-23	47.52
227	E Washington	0.469	15-17	47.51
228	Ga Southern	0.500	15-15	47.50
229	FL Atlantic	0.367	11-19	47.41

259	Campbell	0.531	17-15	46.23
260	North Dakota	0.531	17-15	46.21
261	C Michigan	0.344	11-21	46.19
262	UNC Greensboro	0.406	13-19	46.10
263	Fordham	0.345	10-19	46.09
264	VMI	0.515	17-16	46.04
265	Winthrop	0.375	12-20	45.99
266	Troy	0.357	10-18	45.96
267	San Jose St	0.290	9-22	45.85
268	Samford	0.367	11-19	45.84
269	Sam Houston St	0.406	13-19	45.82
270	Hampton	0.364	12-21	45.77
271	Liberty	0.438	14-18	45.74
272	Morgan St	0.310	9-20	45.72
273	Coppin St	0.467	14-16	45.71
274	Boston College	0.290	9-22	45.69
275	UC Riverside	0.452	14-17	45.68
276	South Dakota	0.357	10-18	45.60
277	Pacific	0.367	11-19	45.56
278	E Kentucky	0.500	16-16	45.53
279	Chattanooga	0.344	11-21	45.41
280	Loyola-Chicago	0.233	7-23	45.41
281	IL Chicago	0.267	8-22	45.29
282	Pepperdine	0.345	10-19	45.28
283	Maine	0.414	12-17	45.24
284	IPFW	0.367	11-19	45.19
285	William & Mary	0.188	6-26	45.06
286	Gardner Webb	0.375	12-20	45.04
287	Utah	0.194	6-25	44.95
288	Mt St Mary's	0.276	8-21	44.89
289	Bradley	0.219	7-25	44.86
290	NC A&T	0.375	12-20	44.77
291	N Colorado	0.321	9-19	44.72
292	Montana St	0.414	12-17	44.71
293	Portland	0.226	7-24	44.51
294	CS Sacramento	0.357	10-18	44.46
295	New Hampshire	0.448	13-16	44.45
296	Santa Clara	0.267	8-22	44.44
297	SE Louisiana	0.414	12-17	44.39
298	Missouri KC	0.323	10-21	44.37
299	E Illinois	0.414	12-17	44.33
300	NJIT	0.469	15-17	44.29
301	Army	0.400	12-18	44.29
302	Edwardsville	0.370	10-17	44.25
303	Hartford	0.290	9-22	44.00
304	CS Northridge	0.250	7-21	43.91
305	Howard	0.323	10-21	43.88
306	TAM C. Christi	0.200	6-24	43.77
307	Idaho St	0.300	9-21	43.55
308	Dartmouth	0.167	5-25	43.51
309	Florida A&M	0.303	10-23	43.30
310	Brown	0.258	8-23	43.26
311	St Francis PA	0.207	6-23	43.22
312	ULM	0.103	3-26	43.07
313	Nicholls St	0.333	10-20	42.91
314	Citadel	0.200	6-24	42.91
315	Ark Pine Bluff	0.333	11-22	42.73
316	Alabama St	0.387	12-19	42.69
317	TX Pan American	0.344	11-21	42.60
318	Southern Univ	0.548	17-14	42.59
319	Radford	0.188	6-26	42.56
320	UC Davis	0.161	5-26	42.53
321	N Illinois	0.161	5-26	42.48
322	Colgate	0.267	8-22	42.20
323	Cent Arkansas	0.276	8-21	42.11
324	MD E Shore	0.233	7-23	41.92
325	Kennesaw	0.097	3-28	41.90
326	Houston Bap	0.333	10-20	41.68
327	St Peter's	0.161	5-26	41.59
328	Alcorn St	0.313	10-22	41.48
329	Navy	0.103	3-26	41.27
330	Prairie View	0.438	14-18	41.04
331	Chicago St	0.133	4-26	40.79
332	Canisius	0.167	5-25	40.70
333	Towson	0.031	1-31	40.50
334	Alabama A&M	0.250	7-21	40.38
335	F Dickinson	0.103	3-26	40.37
336	Jackson St	0.226	7-24	40.31
337	Northern Arizona	0.172	5-24	40.21
338	TN Martin	0.129	4-27	40.05
339	Centenary	0.000	0-1	39.59
340	Longwood	0.323	10-21	39.59
341	MD Baltimore Co	0.133	4-26	39.55
342	S Carolina St	0.161	5-26	38.90
343	Binghamton	0.065	2-29	38.69
344	Bryant	0.067	2-28	38.47
345	Grambling	0.143	4-24	37.95

Thanks to Kryogenix for the table-sorting JavaScript.

steven@stevenjens.com | Steven's home page

lass="rating">42.59 319Radford 0.1886-2642.56 320UC Davis 0.1615-2642.53 321N Illinois 0.1615-2642.48 322Colgate 0.2678-2242.20 323Cent Arkansas 0.2768-2142.11 324MD E Shore 0.2337-2341.92 325Kennesaw 0.0973-2841.90 326Houston Bap 0.33310-2041.68 327St Peter's 0.1615-2641.59 328Alcorn St 0.31310-2241.48 329Navy 0.1033-2641.27 330Prairie View 0.43814-1841.04 331Chicago St 0.1334-2640.79 332Canisius 0.1675-2540.70 333Towson 0.0311-3140.50 334Alabama A&M 0.2507-2140.38 335F Dickinson 0.1033-2640.37 336Jackson St 0.2267-2440.31 337Northern Arizona 0.1725-2440.21 338TN Martin 0.1294-2740.05 339Centenary 0.0000-139.59 340Longwood 0.32310-2139.59 341MD Baltimore Co 0.1334-2639.55 342S Carolina St 0.1615-2638.90 343Binghamton 0.0652-2938.69 344Bryant 0.0672-2838.47 345Grambling 0.1434-2437.95

Thanks to Kryogenix for the table-sorting JavaScript.

steven@stevenjens.com | Steven's home page